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Market news: Brazilian President Lula should be able to leave the hospital early next week.The Nikkei 225 index just broke through the 40000.00 mark, and the latest report was 40000.43, up 1.60% in the day.European Central Bank: It is estimated that the GDP growth rate will be 0.7% in 2024, 1.1% in 2025, 1.4% in 2026 and 1.3% in 2027. (It is expected to be 0.8%, 1.3% and 1.5% respectively in September) It is estimated that the core inflation rate will be 2.9% in 2024, 2.3% in 2025 and 1.9% in 2026. (It is expected to be 2.8%, 2.3% and 2.0% respectively in September) It is estimated that the core inflation rate will be 1.9% in 2027.

The survey shows that the European Central Bank is expected to cut interest rates for the fourth time this year to provide support for the economy, and the European Central Bank is bound to cut interest rates for the fourth time this year, loosening the troubled euro zone economy with the inflation rate approaching 2%. According to the survey, all the respondents except one analyst predicted that the European Central Bank would cut the deposit interest rate by 25 basis points to 3% again on Thursday. Only JPMorgan Chase is expected to cut interest rates by more than 50 basis points, believing that the recent data show that economic growth and inflation are weakening.Analyst: The interest rate of the European Central Bank will be pushed to the low end of the neutral range. Marchel Alexandrovich, an economist at Saltmarsh Economics, said that the European Central Bank cut interest rates by 25 basis points again, which is the fourth time in this easing cycle. The monetary policy statement reiterated that the Committee would not commit to a specific interest rate path in advance. However, the new forecast shows that the core inflation rate is 1.9% in 2026 and 2027, which indicates that interest rates may continue to push to the low end of the neutral range.The largest automobile ro-ro terminal on the Yangtze River trunk line was officially put into operation in Suzhou. On December 12th, Haitong Taicang Automobile Terminal, the largest automobile ro-ro terminal on the Yangtze River trunk line, was officially opened for production and operation. On the same day, three ro-ro ships docked at Haitong Wharf, and more than 3,300 cars were loaded on board and sent to Mexico, Peru, South Korea, Guatemala and other countries. The coastline of Haitong Taicang Automobile Terminal is 708 meters long, and it can berth two foreign trade ro-ro ships of 70,000 tons and one domestic trade ro-ro ship of 3000 tons at the same time. The land area of the yard is 860,000 square meters, the number of parking spaces is 32,000, and the designed annual automobile throughput is 1.3 million.

The downtime lasted more than 4 hours, and the failure of ChatGPT and Sora services has been fully repaired. On the afternoon of December 12, Beijing time, OpenAI updated the accident report and said that API, ChatGPT and Sora services have now fully resumed operation. Earlier today, OpenAI confirmed that ChatGPT, its chat robot, experienced a worldwide downtime, and Sora and API were also affected. It is understood that the fault lasted about 4 hours and 10 minutes. OpenAI said that it will conduct a comprehensive root cause analysis of this failure.Jilin: Promote the high-quality development of ice and snow economy. According to the information office of Jilin Provincial People's Government, the press conference on "Implementation Opinions on Promoting the High-quality Development of Ice and Snow Economy in Jilin Province" was held on the 12th. The "Implementation Opinions" deployed 30 key tasks in 7 aspects. Zhang Chunda, deputy director of the Provincial Development and Reform Commission, said that from the aspects of promoting infrastructure construction and strengthening policy support, efforts will be made to consolidate the development foundation of the ice and snow industry and help the ice and snow economy accelerate iterative upgrading.Russian central bank: Russia's current account surplus in November was $3.2 billion.